CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
40-22-4 | Road
5
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
28-31-8 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00
GAA
--
1.000
Save %
--
1
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
FLYERS
100%
HURRICANES
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
30.2%
PHI By 1 goal
11.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
8.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.23
CAROLINA
Philadelphia
2.17
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 9, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 7, 2026
CAR @ PHI
4 - 1
May 4, 2026
PHI @ CAR
2 - 3
May 2, 2026
PHI @ CAR
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.8% more
Carolina: 30.2
vs
Philadelphia: 26.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.5%
Carolina: 52.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 48.0%
Power Play % (L5)
+2.9%
Carolina: 4.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 1.6%
Hits (L5)
+90.1% more
Philadelphia: 22.2
vs
Carolina: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.2
5
PHI Score
2.2
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 14.5
31.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
48.0 / 52.6
47.8 / 52.2
Hits
22.2 / 11.7
26.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
1.6 / 4.5
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 30.2
26.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 3.8
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CAR
PHI
CAR
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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