ORLANDO
MAGICORL
31-36 | Road
111
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
38-29 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
MAGIC
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.4 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -5.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
ORL By 1-7 points
17.9%
ORL By 8-14 points
7.5%
MIN By 1-7 points
27.1%
MIN By 8-14 points
23.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
110.47
ORLANDO
Minnesota
115.87
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Orlando
118
ORLANDO
Minnesota
122
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.4
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
MIN @ ORL
120 - 132
Mar 7, 2026
ORL @ MIN
119 - 92
Mar 14, 2025
ORL @ MIN
111 - 118
Jan 9, 2025
MIN @ ORL
104 - 89
Feb 2, 2024
ORL @ MIN
108 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+44.7% more
Minnesota: 31.2
vs
Orlando: 21.6
Turnovers (L5)
+17.2% more
Minnesota: 13.1
vs
Orlando: 11.2
Rebounding (L5)
+14.1% more
Minnesota: 43.8
vs
Orlando: 38.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Minnesota: 43.1%
vs
Orlando: 33.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
110.5
111
MIN Score
115.9
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.1 / 33.9
42.4 / 42.9
Assists
31.2 / 21.6
26.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.5 / 5.8
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 45.7
52.5 / 44.9
Free Throw %
77.7 / 80.1
71.4 / 86.4
Rebounding
43.8 / 38.4
45.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.9
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 11.2
16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
ORL
MIN
ORL
ML
54%
63-53
61%
65-42
54%
50-43
56%
51-40
ATS
58%
67-49
64%
68-38-1
54%
50-43
56%
51-40
TTL
63%
72-43-1
57%
61-46
100%
93-0
100%
91-0
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