COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
39-24-3 | Road
4
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
30-23-11 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.917 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 3.10 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.10
0.917 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
FLAMES
100%
AVALANCHE
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
31.7%
CGY By 1 goal
10.8%
CGY By 2-3 goals
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.28
COLORADO
Calgary
2.06
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
COL @ CGY
3 - 1
Apr 9, 2026
CGY @ COL
1 - 3
Mar 30, 2026
CGY @ COL
2 - 9
Mar 31, 2025
CGY @ COL
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2025
COL @ CGY
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.4% more
Colorado: 28.0
vs
Calgary: 25.1
Power Play % (L5)
+5.5%
Colorado: 23.9%
vs
Calgary: 18.4%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.5%
Colorado: 50.5%
vs
Calgary: 47.0%
Hits (L5)
+40.5% more
Calgary: 23.8
vs
Colorado: 17.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.3
4
CGY Score
2.1
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 12.7
16.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
47.0 / 50.5
44.6 / 55.4
Hits
23.8 / 17.0
32.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
18.4 / 23.9
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.1 / 28.0
24.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.7
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
COL
CGY
COL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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