EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
37-22-4 | Road
2
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
24-32-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.00 | 0.941 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.941
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
SABRES
100%
OILERS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
18.9%
EDM By 2-3 goals
23.3%
BUF By 1 goal
15.4%
BUF By 2-3 goals
14.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3.22
EDMONTON
Buffalo
2.8
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
BUF @ EDM
4 - 3
Nov 17, 2025
EDM @ BUF
1 - 5
Mar 10, 2025
EDM @ BUF
2 - 3
Jan 25, 2025
BUF @ EDM
2 - 3
Mar 21, 2024
BUF @ EDM
3 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+35.9% more
Edmonton: 6.3
vs
Buffalo: 4.1
Power Play % (L5)
+17.9%
Edmonton: 33.7%
vs
Buffalo: 15.8%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.3% more
Edmonton: 29.6
vs
Buffalo: 26.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.7% more
Edmonton: 15.7
vs
Buffalo: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.2
2
BUF Score
2.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 15.7
12.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
45.9 / 48.2
44.1 / 55.9
Hits
24.5 / 20.9
13.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
15.8 / 33.7
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 29.6
23.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 6.3
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
EDM
BUF
EDM
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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