SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
27-33-4 | Road
2
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
41-14-8 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 3.06 | 0.870 | -- |
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 2.00 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.06
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.870
Save %
Ldr 0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
CAPITALS
0%
KRAKEN
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
SEA By 1 goal
16.9%
SEA By 2-3 goals
17.4%
WSH By 1 goal
18.0%
WSH By 2-3 goals
20.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2.86
SEATTLE
Washington
2.98
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kraken
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Kraken (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
WSH @ SEA
1 - 5
Oct 21, 2025
SEA @ WSH
1 - 4
Mar 9, 2025
SEA @ WSH
2 - 4
Jan 23, 2025
WSH @ SEA
3 - 0
Mar 14, 2024
WSH @ SEA
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.9% more
Washington: 15.8
vs
Seattle: 13.5
Takeaways (L5)
+30.3% more
Seattle: 4.6
vs
Washington: 3.2
Hits (L5)
+10.5% more
Seattle: 18.5
vs
Washington: 16.6
Power Play % (L5)
+3.0%
Seattle: 18.6%
vs
Washington: 15.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.9
2
WSH Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 13.5
21.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
48.5 / 49.6
55.9 / 44.1
Hits
16.6 / 18.5
19.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
1558.0 / 1857.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 29.6
24.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 4.6
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SEA
WSH
SEA
ML
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
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