WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
44-16-4 | Road
2
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
37-22-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 3.09 | 0.885 | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.09
GAA
--
0.885
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
HURRICANES
100%
JETS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
19.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
25.9%
CAR By 1 goal
14.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3.29
WINNIPEG
Carolina
2.63
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
WPG @ CAR
1 - 5
Nov 21, 2025
CAR @ WPG
4 - 3
Mar 9, 2025
WPG @ CAR
2 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
CAR @ WPG
0 - 3
Mar 2, 2024
WPG @ CAR
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+43.2%
Winnipeg: 50.0%
vs
Carolina: 6.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.0% more
Winnipeg: 16.1
vs
Carolina: 11.9
Hits (L5)
+11.6% more
Winnipeg: 18.4
vs
Carolina: 16.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.3
2
CAR Score
2.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.9 / 16.1
16.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.6 / 48.3
44.8 / 55.2
Hits
16.3 / 18.4
11.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
6.8 / 50.0
16.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.1 / 30.7
27.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.0
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
WPG
CAR
WPG
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
100%
4-0
TTL
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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