ORLANDO
MAGICORL
29-35 | Road
111
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
36-25 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
BUCKS
0%
MAGIC
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.7
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.7 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -7.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
ORL By 1-7 points
14.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
5.2%
MIL By 1-7 points
25.7%
MIL By 8-14 points
25.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
108.41
ORLANDO
Milwaukee
116.06
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.7
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
ORL @ MIL
130 - 91
Feb 11, 2026
MIL @ ORL
116 - 108
Feb 9, 2026
MIL @ ORL
99 - 118
Mar 8, 2025
ORL @ MIL
111 - 109
Jan 15, 2025
ORL @ MIL
93 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+35.2% more
Milwaukee: 50.1
vs
Orlando: 37.1
Assists (L5)
+14.5% more
Milwaukee: 27.5
vs
Orlando: 24.0
Turnovers (L5)
+9.2% more
Milwaukee: 14.8
vs
Orlando: 13.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Milwaukee: 51.9%
vs
Orlando: 45.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
108.4
111
MIL Score
116.1
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 32.5
47.8 / 37.5
Assists
27.5 / 24.0
17.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.3
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.9 / 45.9
54.7 / 51.2
Free Throw %
83.7 / 81.0
69.6 / 78.9
Rebounding
50.1 / 37.1
38.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.8
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 13.6
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
ORL
MIL
ORL
ML
64%
61-35
61%
65-42
60%
49-32
56%
51-40
ATS
68%
65-31
64%
68-38-1
60%
49-32
56%
51-40
TTL
55%
53-43
57%
61-46
100%
81-0
100%
91-0
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