PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
21-39 | Road
112
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
33-29 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
76ERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
PHI By 1-7 points
24.8%
PHI By 8-14 points
14.5%
MIN By 1-7 points
25.8%
MIN By 8-14 points
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
111.19
PHILADELPHIA
Minnesota
111.69
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Minnesota
112
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.5
D
Sim
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
MIN @ PHI
103 - 115
Feb 22, 2026
PHI @ MIN
135 - 108
Apr 5, 2025
MIN @ PHI
114 - 109
Mar 4, 2025
PHI @ MIN
112 - 126
Oct 11, 2024
PHI @ MIN
111 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+54.5% more
Minnesota: 13.1
vs
Philadelphia: 8.5
Assists (L5)
+15.5% more
Minnesota: 28.4
vs
Philadelphia: 24.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
Minnesota: 77.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 74.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+18.6% more
Philadelphia: 11.9
vs
Minnesota: 9.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
111.2
112
MIN Score
111.7
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 35.8
45.0 / 28.1
Assists
28.4 / 24.6
29.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.9
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 45.2
56.8 / 48.8
Free Throw %
77.2 / 74.3
94.1 / 70.4
Rebounding
40.9 / 41.4
37.0 / 36.0
Steals
13.1 / 8.5
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 11.9
19.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
PHI
MIN
PHI
ML
54%
63-53
63%
69-40
54%
50-43
48%
45-48
ATS
58%
67-49
65%
71-38
54%
50-43
48%
45-48
TTL
63%
72-43-1
55%
60-49
100%
93-0
100%
93-0
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