BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
24-27-5 | Road
2
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
33-21-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 15.09 | 0.714 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 2.00 | 0.867 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
15.09
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.714
Save %
Ldr 0.867
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
HURRICANES
0%
SABRES
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
BUF By 1 goal
12.4%
BUF By 2-3 goals
9.7%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2.84
BUFFALO
Carolina
3.79
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
BUF @ CAR
1 - 2
Nov 23, 2025
CAR @ BUF
1 - 4
Nov 8, 2025
BUF @ CAR
3 - 6
Apr 8, 2025
CAR @ BUF
0 - 3
Feb 27, 2025
BUF @ CAR
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+47.9% more
Carolina: 5.6
vs
Buffalo: 3.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.6%
Carolina: 54.4%
vs
Buffalo: 51.8%
Hits (L5)
+34.0% more
Buffalo: 27.6
vs
Carolina: 18.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+32.9% more
Buffalo: 14.9
vs
Carolina: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.8
2
CAR Score
3.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.0 / 14.9
8.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
54.4 / 51.8
53.0 / 47.0
Hits
18.2 / 27.6
19.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
7.8 / 16.2
50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
29.5 / 32.4
37.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 3.8
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
BUF
CAR
BUF
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
100%
3-0
TTL
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
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