TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
35-20-2 | Road
5
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
27-24-7 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 3.82 | 0.889 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 4.68 | 0.828 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.82 Ldr
GAA
4.68
0.889 Ldr
Save %
0.828
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
BRUINS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around TOR -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1 goal
19.6%
TOR By 2-3 goals
26.7%
BOS By 1 goal
13.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
11.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
3.49
TORONTO
Boston
2.76
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Maple Leafs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Maple Leafs (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
TOR @ BOS
4 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
TOR @ BOS
3 - 5
Nov 8, 2025
BOS @ TOR
5 - 3
Feb 25, 2025
TOR @ BOS
5 - 4
Jan 4, 2025
BOS @ TOR
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.7% more
Toronto: 17.7
vs
Boston: 13.4
Power Play % (L5)
+7.4%
Toronto: 23.5%
vs
Boston: 16.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Toronto: 58.2%
vs
Boston: 56.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+20.5% more
Boston: 5.8
vs
Toronto: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
3.5
5
BOS Score
2.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 17.7
13.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
56.6 / 58.2
48.3 / 51.7
Hits
21.2 / 19.7
20.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
16.1 / 23.5
33.3 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 28.1
36.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 4.8
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
TOR
BOS
TOR
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
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