TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
34-20-2 | Road
5
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
17-32-7 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Chris Tanev
#8 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Tanev | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 4.18 | 0.862 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.18
--
Save %
0.862
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around TOR 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1 goal
17.7%
TOR By 2-3 goals
19.2%
CHI By 1 goal
17.2%
CHI By 2-3 goals
18.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
3.23
TORONTO
Chicago
3.18
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Toronto
6
TORONTO
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
CHI @ TOR
2 - 3
Nov 15, 2025
TOR @ CHI
2 - 3
Feb 23, 2025
TOR @ CHI
5 - 2
Dec 2, 2024
CHI @ TOR
1 - 4
Nov 24, 2023
TOR @ CHI
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.3% more
Toronto: 17.6
vs
Chicago: 12.1
Hits (L5)
+21.6% more
Toronto: 20.1
vs
Chicago: 15.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+13.2%
Toronto: 56.9%
vs
Chicago: 43.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+30.5% more
Chicago: 5.6
vs
Toronto: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
3.2
5
CHI Score
3.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.1 / 17.6
15.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
43.8 / 56.9
39.2 / 60.8
Hits
15.8 / 20.1
16.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
30.7 / 18.6
100.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
25.9 / 27.2
27.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 4.3
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
TOR
CHI
TOR
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2-1
100%
4-0
67%
2-1-1
75%
3-1
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