CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
33-19-4 | Road
3
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
33-20-2 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 4.19 | 0.857 | -- |
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 3.00 | 0.914 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.19
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.914
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
HURRICANES
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
30.4%
TOR By 1 goal
11.6%
TOR By 2-3 goals
8.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.75
CAROLINA
Toronto
2.67
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
CAR @ TOR
4 - 3
Dec 4, 2025
TOR @ CAR
5 - 1
Nov 9, 2025
CAR @ TOR
5 - 4
Apr 13, 2025
TOR @ CAR
4 - 1
Feb 22, 2025
CAR @ TOR
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+41.9% more
Carolina: 5.8
vs
Toronto: 3.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.6% more
Carolina: 33.9
vs
Toronto: 29.3
Hits (L5)
+32.0% more
Toronto: 18.1
vs
Carolina: 13.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+30.5% more
Toronto: 15.9
vs
Carolina: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.8
3
TOR Score
2.7
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 12.2
21.0 / 4.0
Faceoff %
56.3 / 57.1
58.2 / 41.8
Hits
18.1 / 13.7
24.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
2794.0 / 1745.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.3 / 33.9
23.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 5.8
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CAR
TOR
CAR
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
4-0
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
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