CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
44-10 | Road
110
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
20-34 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
NETS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.6
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.6 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -10.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
22.1%
CLE By 8-14 points
27.3%
BKN By 1-7 points
9.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
2.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
119.15
CLEVELAND
Brooklyn
108.51
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Cleveland
103
CLEVELAND
Brooklyn
111
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.6
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
CLE @ BKN
106 - 102
Feb 19, 2026
BKN @ CLE
84 - 112
Oct 24, 2025
CLE @ BKN
131 - 124
Mar 11, 2025
BKN @ CLE
104 - 109
Feb 20, 2025
CLE @ BKN
110 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.8% more
Cleveland: 30.4
vs
Brooklyn: 22.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
Cleveland: 37.9%
vs
Brooklyn: 28.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Cleveland: 49.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 43.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.8%
Cleveland: 82.9%
vs
Brooklyn: 81.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
119.2
110
BKN Score
108.5
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.3 / 37.9
26.3 / 28.2
Assists
22.9 / 30.4
25.0 / 19.0
Blocks
7.3 / 4.3
10.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 49.5
40.0 / 42.6
Free Throw %
81.1 / 82.9
57.9 / 70.4
Rebounding
47.4 / 49.7
45.0 / 52.0
Steals
10.1 / 9.2
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 14.8
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CLE
BKN
CLE
ML
53%
50-45
60%
69-46
59%
48-34
56%
55-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
67%
75-37-3
59%
48-34
56%
55-44
TTL
57%
54-41
59%
68-47
100%
82-0
100%
99-0
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