MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
30-23 | Road
107
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
42-10 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
MIN By 1-7 points
24.1%
MIN By 8-14 points
13.4%
CLE By 1-7 points
26.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
123.25
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
124.43
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Minnesota
112
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
105
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.2
D
Sim
Timberwolves (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 247.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
MIN @ CLE
134 - 146
Jan 8, 2026
CLE @ MIN
122 - 131
Feb 10, 2025
MIN @ CLE
107 - 128
Jan 18, 2025
CLE @ MIN
124 - 117
Mar 22, 2024
CLE @ MIN
91 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.8% more
Cleveland: 29.4
vs
Minnesota: 25.4
Turnovers (L5)
+15.4% more
Cleveland: 15.0
vs
Minnesota: 13.0
Steals (L5)
+9.3% more
Cleveland: 7.5
vs
Minnesota: 6.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.3%
Cleveland: 85.4%
vs
Minnesota: 79.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
123.3
107
CLE Score
124.4
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 38.2
39.5 / 30.8
Assists
29.4 / 25.4
27.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.0
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 48.6
51.1 / 40.0
Free Throw %
85.4 / 79.0
75.0 / 76.7
Rebounding
47.5 / 45.6
49.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.9
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 13.0
17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIN
CLE
MIN
ML
60%
69-46
54%
63-53
56%
55-44
54%
50-43
ATS
67%
75-37-3
58%
67-49
56%
55-44
54%
50-43
TTL
59%
68-47
63%
72-43-1
100%
99-0
100%
93-0
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