PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
20-31 | Road
127
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
27-23 | Home
135
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
BUCKS
0%
76ERS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.8
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.8 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -11.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
PHI By 1-7 points
8.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
2.3%
MIL By 1-7 points
20.5%
MIL By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
110.31
PHILADELPHIA
Milwaukee
122.08
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Milwaukee
117
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.8
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
MIL @ PHI
106 - 126
Jan 27, 2026
MIL @ PHI
122 - 139
Dec 5, 2025
PHI @ MIL
116 - 101
Nov 20, 2025
PHI @ MIL
123 - 114
Apr 3, 2025
MIL @ PHI
126 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+11.3% more
Milwaukee: 41.9
vs
Philadelphia: 37.7
Steals (L5)
+27.8% more
Philadelphia: 8.9
vs
Milwaukee: 6.4
Blocks (L5)
+15.6% more
Philadelphia: 4.6
vs
Milwaukee: 3.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Philadelphia: 47.7%
vs
Milwaukee: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
110.3
127
MIL Score
122.1
135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 38.6
43.6 / 40.0
Assists
27.1 / 26.3
29.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.6
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 47.7
43.8 / 52.8
Free Throw %
79.8 / 78.6
95.0 / 78.9
Rebounding
41.9 / 37.7
53.0 / 42.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.9
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 10.7
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
PHI
MIL
PHI
ML
64%
61-35
63%
69-40
60%
49-32
48%
45-48
ATS
68%
65-31
65%
71-38
60%
49-32
48%
45-48
TTL
55%
53-43
55%
60-49
100%
81-0
100%
93-0
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