PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
23-29 | Road
98
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
29-23 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.6
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.6 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -6.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
POR By 1-7 points
16.0%
POR By 8-14 points
6.2%
MIN By 1-7 points
26.5%
MIN By 8-14 points
24.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
114
PORTLAND
Minnesota
120.57
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Portland
113
PORTLAND
Minnesota
116
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.6
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
POR @ MIN
108 - 104
Feb 24, 2026
MIN @ POR
124 - 121
Feb 11, 2026
POR @ MIN
109 - 133
Oct 22, 2025
MIN @ POR
118 - 114
Feb 8, 2025
POR @ MIN
98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.3% more
Minnesota: 6.5
vs
Portland: 5.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.4%
Minnesota: 86.4%
vs
Portland: 83.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+13.6% more
Portland: 14.4
vs
Minnesota: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
114.0
98
MIN Score
120.6
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 38.7
35.7 / 20.0
Assists
26.6 / 24.8
23.0 / 18.0
Blocks
6.5 / 5.0
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 45.6
52.4 / 40.2
Free Throw %
86.4 / 83.0
64.3 / 77.3
Rebounding
46.9 / 47.1
43.0 / 45.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.8
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 14.4
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
POR
MIN
POR
ML
54%
63-53
53%
56-49
54%
50-43
55%
49-40
ATS
58%
67-49
62%
65-39-1
54%
50-43
55%
49-40
TTL
63%
72-43-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
93-0
100%
89-0
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