TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
33-19-2 | Road
1
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
25-18-11 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dakota Joshua
#81 | Center@
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Joshua | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
CANUCKS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
TOR By 1 goal
13.2%
TOR By 2-3 goals
10.8%
VAN By 1 goal
19.7%
VAN By 2-3 goals
27.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
2.73
TORONTO
Vancouver
3.54
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
TOR @ VAN
3 - 2
Jan 10, 2026
VAN @ TOR
0 - 5
Feb 8, 2025
TOR @ VAN
1 - 2
Jan 11, 2025
VAN @ TOR
3 - 0
Jan 20, 2024
TOR @ VAN
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+24.2% more
Vancouver: 22.0
vs
Toronto: 17.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+30.6% more
Toronto: 18.4
vs
Vancouver: 12.7
Power Play % (L5)
+20.8%
Toronto: 41.9%
vs
Vancouver: 21.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.5% more
Toronto: 29.9
vs
Vancouver: 26.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
2.7
1
VAN Score
3.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.7 / 18.4
15.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
46.3 / 53.7
38.6 / 61.4
Hits
22.0 / 17.7
22.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
21.1 / 41.9
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 29.9
25.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 3.6
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
TOR
VAN
TOR
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
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