MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
27-22 | Road
110
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
23-28 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
HAWKS
0%
BUCKS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
MIL By 1-7 points
25.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
15.3%
ATL By 1-7 points
25.4%
ATL By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
112.88
MILWAUKEE
Atlanta
112.9
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Atlanta
98
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 225.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
MIL @ ATL
99 - 122
Mar 4, 2026
ATL @ MIL
131 - 113
Jan 19, 2026
MIL @ ATL
112 - 110
Mar 30, 2025
ATL @ MIL
145 - 124
Mar 4, 2025
MIL @ ATL
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+36.3% more
Atlanta: 16.6
vs
Milwaukee: 12.2
Blocks (L5)
+9.9% more
Atlanta: 4.8
vs
Milwaukee: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+9.0% more
Atlanta: 29.1
vs
Milwaukee: 26.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Atlanta: 49.2%
vs
Milwaukee: 46.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
112.9
110
ATL Score
112.9
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 38.7
36.1 / 38.0
Assists
29.1 / 26.7
29.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.3
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 46.9
48.9 / 42.7
Free Throw %
75.0 / 74.8
66.7 / 90.0
Rebounding
42.0 / 41.4
52.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.6 / 7.2
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 12.2
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
MIL
ATL
MIL
ML
50%
52-52
64%
61-35
55%
48-40
60%
49-32
ATS
53%
55-48-1
68%
65-31
55%
48-40
60%
49-32
TTL
53%
55-48-1
55%
53-43
100%
88-0
100%
81-0
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