COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
32-22-2 | Road
5
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
34-16-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 4.00 | 0.852 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
--
0.852
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
OILERS
0%
AVALANCHE
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
COL By 1 goal
14.0%
COL By 2-3 goals
12.0%
EDM By 1 goal
19.5%
EDM By 2-3 goals
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.63
COLORADO
Edmonton
3.31
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Edmonton
6
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
COL @ EDM
2 - 1
Mar 10, 2026
EDM @ COL
4 - 3
Nov 8, 2025
COL @ EDM
9 - 1
Feb 7, 2025
COL @ EDM
5 - 4
Jan 16, 2025
EDM @ COL
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.8% more
Edmonton: 39.3
vs
Colorado: 30.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.3% more
Edmonton: 13.7
vs
Colorado: 12.4
Takeaways (L5)
+35.4% more
Colorado: 6.8
vs
Edmonton: 4.4
Hits (L5)
+30.8% more
Colorado: 17.3
vs
Edmonton: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.6
5
EDM Score
3.3
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 12.4
12.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
46.2 / 51.5
47.5 / 52.5
Hits
12.0 / 17.3
9.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
21.3 / 26.0
50.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
39.3 / 30.7
27.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 6.8
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
COL
EDM
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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