COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
31-22-2 | Road
4
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
26-20-7 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.931 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.12 | 0.882 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
4.12
0.931 Ldr
Save %
0.882
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
FLAMES
100%
AVALANCHE
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.5%
COL By 2-3 goals
32.6%
CGY By 1 goal
10.2%
CGY By 2-3 goals
7.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.26
COLORADO
Calgary
1.94
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
COL @ CGY
3 - 1
Apr 9, 2026
CGY @ COL
1 - 3
Mar 30, 2026
CGY @ COL
2 - 9
Mar 31, 2025
CGY @ COL
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2025
COL @ CGY
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.8% more
Calgary: 16.3
vs
Colorado: 13.0
Power Play % (L5)
+12.9%
Calgary: 35.2%
vs
Colorado: 22.3%
Hits (L5)
+12.3% more
Calgary: 21.8
vs
Colorado: 19.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.3
4
CGY Score
1.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 13.0
18.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
51.1 / 52.3
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
21.8 / 19.4
22.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
35.2 / 22.3
20.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
30.0 / 29.1
29.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.7
4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
COL
CGY
COL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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