TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
32-19-2 | Road
3
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
23-28-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 3.21 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.21
0.963 Ldr
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
KRAKEN
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around TOR -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1 goal
19.7%
TOR By 2-3 goals
31.0%
SEA By 1 goal
11.3%
SEA By 2-3 goals
8.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
3.65
TORONTO
Seattle
2.51
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
TOR @ SEA
2 - 5
Oct 18, 2025
SEA @ TOR
4 - 3
Feb 6, 2025
TOR @ SEA
3 - 1
Oct 31, 2024
SEA @ TOR
1 - 4
Jan 21, 2024
TOR @ SEA
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+32.7%
Toronto: 46.2%
vs
Seattle: 13.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.4% more
Toronto: 18.1
vs
Seattle: 14.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.2%
Toronto: 54.4%
vs
Seattle: 48.2%
Hits (L5)
+14.9% more
Seattle: 22.5
vs
Toronto: 19.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
3.7
3
SEA Score
2.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 18.1
11.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 54.4
47.5 / 52.5
Hits
22.5 / 19.6
15.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
13.5 / 46.2
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
28.9 / 29.9
27.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.9
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
TOR
SEA
TOR
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
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