CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
32-17-4 | Road
0
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
37-14-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dylan Samberg
#54 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 3.00 | 0.900 | -- |
| Dylan Samberg | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
--
0.900
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
JETS
0%
HURRICANES
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
CAR By 1 goal
14.3%
CAR By 2-3 goals
12.5%
WPG By 1 goal
19.4%
WPG By 2-3 goals
25.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.48
CAROLINA
Winnipeg
4.1
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
WPG @ CAR
1 - 5
Nov 21, 2025
CAR @ WPG
4 - 3
Mar 9, 2025
WPG @ CAR
2 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
CAR @ WPG
0 - 3
Mar 2, 2024
WPG @ CAR
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+43.0%
Winnipeg: 45.7%
vs
Carolina: 2.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+38.4% more
Winnipeg: 16.8
vs
Carolina: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.5
0
WPG Score
4.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 12.2
22.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
49.7 / 50.6
35.5 / 64.5
Hits
14.9 / 15.9
24.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
45.7 / 2.7
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 28.8
30.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 5.1
5.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
CAR
WPG
CAR
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
100%
4-0
TTL
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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