SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
24-24 | Road
116
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
27-22 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
KINGS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
25.7%
SAC By 8-14 points
15.9%
MIN By 1-7 points
25.0%
MIN By 8-14 points
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
117
SACRAMENTO
Minnesota
116.65
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Sacramento
105
SACRAMENTO
Minnesota
110
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.3
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 233.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
103 - 117
Nov 24, 2025
MIN @ SAC
112 - 117
Nov 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
110 - 124
Nov 9, 2025
MIN @ SAC
144 - 117
Feb 3, 2025
SAC @ MIN
116 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.1% more
Minnesota: 5.3
vs
Sacramento: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+32.5% more
Minnesota: 15.1
vs
Sacramento: 11.4
Steals (L5)
+29.5% more
Minnesota: 8.7
vs
Sacramento: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
Minnesota: 40.1%
vs
Sacramento: 29.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
117.0
116
MIN Score
116.7
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 29.6
30.0 / 41.7
Assists
29.6 / 29.4
28.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.3 / 3.9
8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 45.4
45.7 / 48.9
Free Throw %
81.6 / 77.2
100.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
43.2 / 42.3
36.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.7
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 11.4
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SAC
MIN
SAC
ML
54%
63-53
55%
55-45
54%
50-43
61%
50-32
ATS
58%
67-49
54%
52-45-3
54%
50-43
61%
50-32
TTL
63%
72-43-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
93-0
100%
82-0
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