CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
25-19-7 | Road
3
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
23-27-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 3.07 | 0.914 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.07
--
Save %
0.914
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
KRAKEN
100%
FLAMES
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
CGY By 1 goal
18.3%
CGY By 2-3 goals
20.8%
SEA By 1 goal
16.6%
SEA By 2-3 goals
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Seattle
2.8
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
CGY @ SEA
1 - 6
Oct 1, 2026
SEA @ CGY
6 - 1
Apr 11, 2026
CGY @ SEA
1 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
SEA @ CGY
5 - 1
Dec 18, 2025
SEA @ CGY
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+22.3% more
Calgary: 23.6
vs
Seattle: 18.3
Takeaways (L5)
+18.6% more
Seattle: 5.0
vs
Calgary: 4.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.3%
Seattle: 55.6%
vs
Calgary: 51.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.0
3
SEA Score
2.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.0 / 15.6
13.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
55.6 / 51.3
43.5 / 56.5
Hits
18.3 / 23.6
24.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
30.5 / 29.1
0.0 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 30.5
31.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.2
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CGY
SEA
CGY
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-3
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