Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Trail Blazers ORL @ POR

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

24-24  |  Road

90
FINAL
Thu, Jan 30 • 10:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

18-29  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
MAGIC --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
199.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.1
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.1 points (Portland)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

30.4%

Trail Blazers Cover

69.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -5.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

ORL By 1-7 points

18.3%

ORL By 8-14 points

7.8%

POR By 1-7 points

27.2%

POR By 8-14 points

23.2%

AI Model Projected Score
97.11
ORLANDO
102.24
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
105
ORLANDO
112
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.1
D
Sim Trail Blazers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 199.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 23, 2025 ORL @ POR 110 - 106
Nov 10, 2025 POR @ ORL 112 - 115
Jan 30, 2025 ORL @ POR 90 - 119
Jan 23, 2025 POR @ ORL 101 - 79
Apr 1, 2024 POR @ ORL 103 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +20.8% more
Portland: 5.2 vs Orlando: 4.3
Free Throw % (L5) +11.0%
Portland: 77.6% vs Orlando: 66.6%
Rebounding (L5) +8.5% more
Portland: 47.1 vs Orlando: 43.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Portland: 38.3% vs Orlando: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 97.1 90
POR Score 102.2 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 33.6 48.0 / 19.2
Assists 22.9 / 24.3 23.0 / 14.0
Blocks 5.2 / 4.3 5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.0 / 43.0 52.6 / 42.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 66.6 80.6 / 85.0
Rebounding 47.1 / 43.4 38.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.8 / 8.6 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.2 / 15.2 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
ORL
POR
ORL
ML
53% 56-49
61% 65-42
55% 49-40
56% 51-40
ATS
62% 65-39-1
64% 68-38-1
55% 49-40
56% 51-40
TTL
56% 58-46-1
57% 61-46
100% 89-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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