DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
24-21-5 | Road
3
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
32-15-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Viktor Arvidsson
#33 | Left Wing@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Arvidsson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
OILERS
0%
RED WINGS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
DET By 1 goal
10.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
7.5%
EDM By 1 goal
19.6%
EDM By 2-3 goals
32.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.75
DETROIT
Edmonton
4.01
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Edmonton
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Red Wings (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 11, 2025
DET @ EDM
1 - 4
Oct 19, 2025
EDM @ DET
2 - 4
Jan 30, 2025
DET @ EDM
3 - 2
Oct 27, 2024
EDM @ DET
3 - 2
Feb 13, 2024
DET @ EDM
4 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.7%
Edmonton: 49.3%
vs
Detroit: 44.6%
Hits (L5)
+24.9% more
Detroit: 19.2
vs
Edmonton: 14.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.2% more
Detroit: 16.3
vs
Edmonton: 12.5
Takeaways (L5)
+10.3% more
Detroit: 3.7
vs
Edmonton: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.8
3
EDM Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.5 / 16.3
17.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
49.3 / 44.6
45.2 / 54.8
Hits
14.4 / 19.2
14.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
15.8 / 19.7
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.3 / 32.0
47.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 3.7
8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
DET
EDM
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
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