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ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

21-23-6  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Jan 30 • 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

24-18-7  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Pavel Mintyukov
GOALTENDER

Pavel Mintyukov

#98 | Defense
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Pavel Mintyukov None-None -- -- --
Dustin Wolf None-None 1.01 0.968 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.01
-- Save % 0.968
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
DUCKS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Calgary)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

35.8%

Flames Cover

64.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

ANA By 1 goal

13.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

11.5%

CGY By 1 goal

19.6%

CGY By 2-3 goals

26.7%

AI Model Projected Score
1.94
ANAHEIM
2.67
CALGARY
Simulated Score
3
ANAHEIM
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 CGY @ ANA 5 - 3
Mar 26, 2026 ANA @ CGY 3 - 2
Mar 1, 2026 CGY @ ANA 2 - 3
Jan 25, 2026 ANA @ CGY 4 - 3
Apr 9, 2025 CGY @ ANA 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +66.6% more
Calgary: 5.8 vs Anaheim: 3.5
Hits (L5) +23.9% more
Calgary: 22.6 vs Anaheim: 18.3
Power Play % (L5) +11.6%
Calgary: 28.0% vs Anaheim: 16.5%
Faceoff % (L5) +4.1%
Calgary: 49.1% vs Anaheim: 45.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 1.9 1
CGY Score 2.7 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.8 / 19.3 25.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 49.1 / 45.0 60.0 / 40.0
Hits 22.6 / 18.3 25.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 2804.0 / 1648.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.0 / 29.2 30.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 5.8 / 3.5 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
ANA
CGY
ANA
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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