BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
14-33 | Road
104
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
12-31 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
HORNETS
0%
NETS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.2
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.2 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -4.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
BKN By 1-7 points
19.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
9.0%
CHA By 1-7 points
27.4%
CHA By 8-14 points
21.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
102.67
BROOKLYN
Charlotte
106.88
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
106
BROOKLYN
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.2
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 209.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
CHA @ BKN
117 - 86
Dec 1, 2025
CHA @ BKN
103 - 116
Oct 22, 2025
BKN @ CHA
117 - 136
Mar 8, 2025
BKN @ CHA
102 - 105
Feb 10, 2025
CHA @ BKN
89 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+23.4% more
Charlotte: 25.8
vs
Brooklyn: 20.9
Steals (L5)
+21.0% more
Charlotte: 10.1
vs
Brooklyn: 8.3
Blocks (L5)
+12.4% more
Charlotte: 4.4
vs
Brooklyn: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.2%
Charlotte: 37.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 29.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
102.7
104
CHA Score
106.9
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 29.3
28.6 / 31.3
Assists
25.8 / 20.9
18.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.9
7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 38.1
33.7 / 48.8
Free Throw %
79.8 / 80.3
68.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 41.6
52.0 / 40.0
Steals
10.1 / 8.3
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 16.2
17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
BKN
CHA
BKN
ML
61%
60-39
53%
50-45
48%
40-44
59%
48-34
ATS
60%
59-40
52%
48-44-3
48%
40-44
59%
48-34
TTL
58%
57-42
57%
54-41
100%
84-0
100%
82-0
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