CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
20-27 | Road
100
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
32-15 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
CELTICS
0%
BULLS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.2
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.2 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -7.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
CHI By 1-7 points
15.0%
CHI By 8-14 points
5.6%
BOS By 1-7 points
26.1%
BOS By 8-14 points
25.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
107.76
CHICAGO
Boston
114.96
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
108
CHICAGO
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.2
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
CHI @ BOS
105 - 124
Jan 24, 2026
BOS @ CHI
111 - 114
Jan 5, 2026
CHI @ BOS
101 - 115
Jan 29, 2025
CHI @ BOS
100 - 122
Dec 21, 2024
BOS @ CHI
123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.2% more
Boston: 5.1
vs
Chicago: 4.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.6%
Boston: 82.2%
vs
Chicago: 80.6%
Steals (L5)
+31.9% more
Chicago: 8.4
vs
Boston: 5.7
Turnovers (L5)
+30.7% more
Chicago: 16.3
vs
Boston: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
107.8
100
BOS Score
115.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 37.6
40.9 / 30.6
Assists
25.4 / 28.0
32.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.1 / 4.3
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 45.1
47.1 / 40.2
Free Throw %
82.2 / 80.6
81.5 / 91.7
Rebounding
43.9 / 48.1
45.0 / 47.0
Steals
5.7 / 8.4
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 16.3
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CHI
BOS
CHI
ML
57%
61-46
56%
54-42
53%
47-41
57%
46-35
ATS
59%
61-43-3
65%
62-33-1
53%
47-41
57%
46-35
TTL
56%
60-47
58%
56-40
100%
88-0
100%
81-0
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