Home / NBA Projections NBA / Kings @ 76ers SAC @ PHI

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

24-22  |  Road

104
FINAL
Wed, Jan 29 • 7:30 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

18-27  |  Home

117
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
KINGS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.7
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.7 points (Philadelphia)
KingsSAC (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

25.3%

76ers Cover

74.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -6.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

SAC By 1-7 points

15.9%

SAC By 8-14 points

6.1%

PHI By 1-7 points

26.5%

PHI By 8-14 points

25.0%

AI Model Projected Score
112.41
SACRAMENTO
119.07
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
113
SACRAMENTO
120
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.7
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 231.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 PHI @ SAC 139 - 118
Jan 29, 2026 SAC @ PHI 111 - 113
Jan 29, 2025 SAC @ PHI 104 - 117
Jan 1, 2025 PHI @ SAC 107 - 113
Mar 25, 2024 PHI @ SAC 96 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +54.4% more
Philadelphia: 10.3 vs Sacramento: 6.7
Free Throw % (L5) +1.5%
Philadelphia: 79.1% vs Sacramento: 77.6%
Assists (L5) +23.5% more
Sacramento: 30.4 vs Philadelphia: 23.2
Turnovers (L5) +18.2% more
Sacramento: 13.7 vs Philadelphia: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 112.4 104
PHI Score 119.1 117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 35.6 41.4 / 24.4
Assists 23.2 / 30.4 30.0 / 34.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.4 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 50.0 52.4 / 44.4
Free Throw % 79.1 / 77.6 86.4 / 82.4
Rebounding 39.1 / 44.4 35.0 / 46.0
Steals 10.3 / 6.7 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 13.7 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
SAC
PHI
SAC
ML
63% 69-40
55% 55-45
48% 45-48
61% 50-32
ATS
65% 71-38
54% 52-45-3
48% 45-48
61% 50-32
TTL
55% 60-49
58% 57-42-1
100% 93-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 7 hours, 20 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 13 hours, 33 minutes ago
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …
cbssports 1 day, 1 hour ago
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
actionnews5 1 day, 1 hour ago
Colin Cowherd: LeBron James' Arthritis and Sciatica Made 76ers t…
yahoo 1 day, 13 hours ago