Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ 76ers LAL @ PHI

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

26-18  |  Road

104
FINAL
Tue, Jan 28 • 7:30 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

17-27  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
LAKERS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.3 points (Philadelphia)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

23.1%

76ers Cover

76.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -7.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

LAL By 1-7 points

14.7%

LAL By 8-14 points

5.4%

PHI By 1-7 points

25.9%

PHI By 8-14 points

25.7%

AI Model Projected Score
104.39
LOS ANGELES
111.74
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
108
LOS ANGELES
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.3
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 216.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 PHI @ LAL 115 - 119
Dec 7, 2025 LAL @ PHI 112 - 108
Jan 28, 2025 LAL @ PHI 104 - 118
Nov 8, 2024 PHI @ LAL 106 - 116
Mar 22, 2024 PHI @ LAL 94 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +14.5% more
Philadelphia: 8.5 vs Los Angeles: 7.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Philadelphia: 37.6% vs Los Angeles: 31.3%
Rebounding (L5) +17.7% more
Los Angeles: 45.1 vs Philadelphia: 37.2
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
Los Angeles: 14.4 vs Philadelphia: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 104.4 104
PHI Score 111.7 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.6 / 31.3 32.4 / 30.3
Assists 24.8 / 25.9 20.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 50.5 47.3 / 51.4
Free Throw % 76.7 / 80.1 84.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 37.2 / 45.1 43.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.5 / 7.4 14.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 14.4 9.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
95%MONEY5%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
LAL
PHI
LAL
ML
63% 69-40
61% 68-43
48% 45-48
54% 49-42
ATS
65% 71-38
61% 67-43-1
48% 45-48
54% 49-42
TTL
55% 60-49
61% 66-43-2
100% 93-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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