MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
26-18 | Road
112
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
17-29 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
BUCKS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.9
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -4.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
27.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
22.9%
POR By 1-7 points
18.6%
POR By 8-14 points
8.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
114.32
MILWAUKEE
Portland
109.38
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Portland
107
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.9
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
MIL @ POR
99 - 130
Nov 24, 2025
POR @ MIL
115 - 103
Jan 28, 2025
MIL @ POR
112 - 125
Jan 4, 2025
POR @ MIL
105 - 102
Jan 31, 2024
MIL @ POR
116 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.9% more
Milwaukee: 29.2
vs
Portland: 21.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.3%
Milwaukee: 52.8%
vs
Portland: 43.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Milwaukee: 39.0%
vs
Portland: 36.1%
Steals (L5)
+48.0% more
Portland: 7.1
vs
Milwaukee: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
114.3
112
POR Score
109.4
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 39.0
42.9 / 31.4
Assists
21.3 / 29.2
26.0 / 26.0
Blocks
6.8 / 5.1
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 52.8
51.1 / 50.6
Free Throw %
75.3 / 70.7
82.1 / 72.2
Rebounding
44.6 / 46.7
52.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.1 / 4.8
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 11.5
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
MIL
POR
MIL
ML
53%
56-49
64%
61-35
55%
49-40
60%
49-32
ATS
62%
65-39-1
68%
65-31
55%
49-40
60%
49-32
TTL
56%
58-46-1
55%
53-43
100%
89-0
100%
81-0
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