CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
30-16-4 | Road
4
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
24-21-4 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
K'Andre Miller
#19 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K'Andre Miller | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 4.00 | 0.846 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.00
--
Save %
0.846
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
RANGERS
100%
HURRICANES
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
19.3%
CAR By 2-3 goals
25.0%
NYR By 1 goal
14.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
12.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.84
CAROLINA
New York
3.27
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
CAR @ NYR
2 - 0
Dec 29, 2025
NYR @ CAR
2 - 3
Nov 26, 2025
NYR @ CAR
4 - 2
Nov 4, 2025
CAR @ NYR
3 - 0
Apr 12, 2025
NYR @ CAR
3 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+18.5% more
Carolina: 19.9
vs
New York: 16.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+40.3% more
New York: 17.7
vs
Carolina: 12.6
Power Play % (L5)
+17.8%
New York: 26.8%
vs
Carolina: 9.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.1%
New York: 54.7%
vs
Carolina: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.8
4
NYR Score
3.3
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.7 / 12.6
7.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.7 / 48.6
43.6 / 56.4
Hits
16.2 / 19.9
21.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
2675.0 / 895.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.0 / 32.3
22.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.5
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
CAR
NYR
CAR
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
100%
4-0
TTL
60%
3-2
0%
0-4
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
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