COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
29-20-2 | Road
2
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
21-20-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 4.08 | 0.852 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.00 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.08
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.852
Save %
Ldr 0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
18.0%
COL By 2-3 goals
20.0%
NYI By 1 goal
16.9%
NYI By 2-3 goals
17.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.91
COLORADO
New York
2.79
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 4, 2025
COL @ NYI
3 - 6
Nov 16, 2025
NYI @ COL
1 - 4
Jan 28, 2025
COL @ NYI
2 - 5
Oct 14, 2024
NYI @ COL
6 - 2
Jan 2, 2024
NYI @ COL
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+8.4%
Colorado: 19.1%
vs
New York: 10.7%
Hits (L5)
+72.5% more
New York: 33.5
vs
Colorado: 19.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.0% more
New York: 16.2
vs
Colorado: 13.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+15.7%
New York: 61.0%
vs
Colorado: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.9
2
NYI Score
2.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 13.6
27.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
61.0 / 45.3
46.2 / 53.8
Hits
33.5 / 19.4
33.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
1072.0 / 1907.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.4 / 26.1
28.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 5.5
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
COL
NYI
COL
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0-1
67%
2-1
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