LOS ANGELES
LAKERSLAL
25-18 | Road
112
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
12-30 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
0%
HORNETS
100%
LAKERS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAL -4.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)
LAL By 1-7 points
27.4%
LAL By 8-14 points
21.9%
CHA By 1-7 points
19.9%
CHA By 8-14 points
9.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
113.08
LOS ANGELES
Charlotte
108.92
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
114
LOS ANGELES
Charlotte
117
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lakers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.2
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 15, 2026
CHA @ LAL
135 - 117
Nov 10, 2025
LAL @ CHA
121 - 111
Feb 19, 2025
CHA @ LAL
100 - 97
Jan 27, 2025
LAL @ CHA
112 - 107
Feb 5, 2024
LAL @ CHA
124 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+8.0% more
Los Angeles: 27.9
vs
Charlotte: 25.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Los Angeles: 50.2%
vs
Charlotte: 45.4%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
Los Angeles: 82.7%
vs
Charlotte: 78.0%
Steals (L5)
+46.7% more
Charlotte: 9.6
vs
Los Angeles: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAL Score
113.1
112
CHA Score
108.9
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 36.2
38.9 / 21.4
Assists
25.6 / 27.9
26.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.0 / 4.5
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 50.2
44.8 / 51.2
Free Throw %
78.0 / 82.7
83.3 / 75.0
Rebounding
45.4 / 43.7
34.0 / 48.0
Steals
9.6 / 6.6
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 12.1
14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL
Advantage
57-35-0
(62.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL
51-41-0
(55.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
LAL
CHA
LAL
ML
61%
60-39
61%
68-43
48%
40-44
54%
49-42
ATS
60%
59-40
61%
67-43-1
48%
40-44
54%
49-42
TTL
58%
57-42
61%
66-43-2
100%
84-0
100%
91-0
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