SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
23-22 | Road
110
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
14-32 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
NETS
100%
KINGS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.5
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.5 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -9.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
23.7%
SAC By 8-14 points
27.1%
BKN By 1-7 points
11.4%
BKN By 8-14 points
3.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
113.81
SACRAMENTO
Brooklyn
104.3
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
Brooklyn
117
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.5
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
SAC @ BKN
99 - 116
Mar 22, 2026
BKN @ SAC
122 - 126
Jan 27, 2025
SAC @ BKN
110 - 96
Nov 24, 2024
BKN @ SAC
108 - 103
Apr 7, 2024
SAC @ BKN
107 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+27.3% more
Sacramento: 30.0
vs
Brooklyn: 21.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Sacramento: 47.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 38.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Sacramento: 37.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 30.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.9%
Sacramento: 84.0%
vs
Brooklyn: 77.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
113.8
110
BKN Score
104.3
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 37.3
27.8 / 32.1
Assists
21.8 / 30.0
19.0 / 31.0
Blocks
4.3 / 4.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
38.9 / 47.5
36.6 / 54.9
Free Throw %
77.1 / 84.0
86.7 / 64.7
Rebounding
42.9 / 44.5
39.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.5
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 11.5
16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
SAC
BKN
SAC
ML
53%
50-45
55%
55-45
59%
48-34
61%
50-32
ATS
52%
48-44-3
54%
52-45-3
59%
48-34
61%
50-32
TTL
57%
54-41
58%
57-42-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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