DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
28-17 | Road
121
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
19-27 | Home
129
AI Model Win Probability
NUGGETS
0%
BULLS
100%
NUGGETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.1
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.1 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEN -4.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
DEN By 1-7 points
27.4%
DEN By 8-14 points
21.7%
CHI By 1-7 points
20.0%
CHI By 8-14 points
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
118.46
DENVER
Chicago
114.4
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Denver
107
DENVER
Chicago
104
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.1
D
Sim
Nuggets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
DEN @ CHI
136 - 120
Nov 17, 2025
CHI @ DEN
130 - 127
Oct 14, 2025
CHI @ DEN
117 - 124
Mar 24, 2025
CHI @ DEN
129 - 119
Jan 27, 2025
DEN @ CHI
121 - 129
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+22.3% more
Denver: 5.0
vs
Chicago: 3.9
Assists (L5)
+21.4% more
Denver: 31.2
vs
Chicago: 24.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.0%
Denver: 51.6%
vs
Chicago: 42.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Denver: 38.3%
vs
Chicago: 33.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
118.5
121
CHI Score
114.4
129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 38.3
45.3 / 22.2
Assists
24.6 / 31.2
35.0 / 36.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.0
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 51.6
50.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
77.2 / 71.0
87.5 / 100.0
Rebounding
48.6 / 46.3
47.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.4
11.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 15.9
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DEN
CHI
DEN
ML
56%
54-42
54%
57-48
57%
46-35
55%
47-39
ATS
65%
62-33-1
63%
65-38-2
57%
46-35
55%
47-39
TTL
58%
56-40
54%
56-48-1
100%
81-0
100%
86-0
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