LA
CLIPPERSLAC
26-19 | Road
109
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
23-21 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
SUNS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
20.0%
PHX By 1-7 points
21.8%
PHX By 8-14 points
10.8%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
116.55
LA
Phoenix
113.65
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
LA
110
LA
Phoenix
113
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.9
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 230.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
LAC @ PHX
117 - 93
Nov 8, 2025
PHX @ LAC
114 - 103
Nov 6, 2025
LAC @ PHX
102 - 115
Oct 24, 2025
PHX @ LAC
102 - 129
Mar 4, 2025
LAC @ PHX
117 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.2% more
LA: 9.1
vs
Phoenix: 6.1
Blocks (L5)
+29.8% more
LA: 5.0
vs
Phoenix: 3.5
Turnovers (L5)
+9.5% more
LA: 13.7
vs
Phoenix: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
LA: 90.3%
vs
Phoenix: 82.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
116.6
109
PHX Score
113.7
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 32.7
46.8 / 31.3
Assists
25.6 / 23.6
23.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.5 / 5.0
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 47.0
47.1 / 49.4
Free Throw %
82.9 / 90.3
81.8 / 85.0
Rebounding
46.5 / 46.5
39.0 / 42.0
Steals
6.1 / 9.1
10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 13.7
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
LAC
PHX
LAC
ML
57%
60-45
60%
59-40
51%
45-43
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
59-43-3
66%
65-33-1
51%
45-43
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
61-42-2
59%
58-40-1
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
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