COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
28-20-2 | Road
5
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
24-20-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 4.00 | 0.892 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 5.02 | 0.773 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00 Ldr
GAA
5.02
0.892 Ldr
Save %
0.773
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
RANGERS
0%
AVALANCHE
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
COL By 1 goal
12.0%
COL By 2-3 goals
9.2%
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
29.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.81
COLORADO
New York
3.83
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Colorado
5
COLORADO
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
COL @ NYR
3 - 2
Nov 20, 2025
NYR @ COL
3 - 6
Jan 26, 2025
COL @ NYR
5 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
NYR @ COL
2 - 3
Mar 28, 2024
NYR @ COL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+38.7% more
New York: 16.5
vs
Colorado: 11.9
Power Play % (L5)
+36.5%
New York: 40.1%
vs
Colorado: 3.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+18.7% more
New York: 5.7
vs
Colorado: 4.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.2% more
New York: 31.0
vs
Colorado: 28.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.8
5
NYR Score
3.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.5 / 11.9
20.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
53.5 / 46.4
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
16.3 / 21.1
16.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
40.1 / 3.6
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
31.0 / 28.1
37.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
5.7 / 4.8
3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
COL
NYR
COL
ML
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
ATS
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…