CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
24-16-7 | Road
2
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
33-14-3 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Dylan Samberg
#54 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dylan Samberg | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
JETS
0%
FLAMES
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
CGY By 1 goal
10.9%
CGY By 2-3 goals
7.8%
WPG By 1 goal
19.6%
WPG By 2-3 goals
31.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.4
CALGARY
Winnipeg
3.61
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
WPG @ CGY
4 - 3
Oct 24, 2025
CGY @ WPG
3 - 5
Oct 20, 2025
WPG @ CGY
2 - 1
Oct 3, 2025
WPG @ CGY
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CGY @ WPG
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+9.2%
Winnipeg: 40.7%
vs
Calgary: 31.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+19.1% more
Calgary: 6.3
vs
Winnipeg: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.4
2
WPG Score
3.6
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.5 / 15.4
15.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
50.0 / 50.1
54.2 / 45.8
Hits
19.8 / 20.6
32.0 / 38.0
Power Play %
40.7 / 31.4
100.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
28.9 / 27.3
27.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 6.3
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
CGY
WPG
CGY
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
