Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Bulls PHI @ CHI

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

16-27  |  Road

109
FINAL
Sat, Jan 25 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

19-26  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
BULLS
100%
76ERS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Philadelphia)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

56.8%

Bulls Cover

43.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

26.7%

PHI By 8-14 points

18.1%

CHI By 1-7 points

23.4%

CHI By 8-14 points

12.6%

AI Model Projected Score
111.52
PHILADELPHIA
109.81
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
108
PHILADELPHIA
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.7
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 221.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 25, 2026 CHI @ PHI 137 - 157
Dec 26, 2025 PHI @ CHI 102 - 109
Nov 4, 2025 PHI @ CHI 111 - 113
Apr 13, 2025 CHI @ PHI 122 - 102
Feb 24, 2025 CHI @ PHI 142 - 110
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.2%
Philadelphia: 42.0% vs Chicago: 34.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Philadelphia: 47.2% vs Chicago: 42.7%
Rebounding (L5) +28.4% more
Chicago: 45.9 vs Philadelphia: 35.8
Free Throw % (L5) +3.5%
Chicago: 83.2% vs Philadelphia: 79.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 111.5 109
CHI Score 109.8 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 42.0 31.6 / 28.9
Assists 24.8 / 25.8 24.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.4 / 4.2 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 47.2 42.4 / 45.7
Free Throw % 83.2 / 79.7 65.0 / 70.6
Rebounding 45.9 / 35.8 54.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.6 / 7.7 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 13.4 20.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
PHI
CHI
PHI
ML
56% 54-42
63% 69-40
57% 46-35
48% 45-48
ATS
65% 62-33-1
65% 71-38
57% 46-35
48% 45-48
TTL
58% 56-40
55% 60-49
100% 81-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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