MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
25-17 | Road
117
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
25-19 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
BUCKS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
MIL By 1-7 points
24.4%
MIL By 8-14 points
13.9%
LAC By 1-7 points
26.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
16.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
116.61
MILWAUKEE
LA
117.47
LA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
115
MILWAUKEE
LA
109
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.9
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
LAC @ MIL
127 - 113
Mar 23, 2026
MIL @ LAC
96 - 129
Feb 20, 2025
LAC @ MIL
110 - 116
Jan 25, 2025
MIL @ LAC
117 - 127
Mar 10, 2024
MIL @ LAC
124 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+80.4% more
LA: 9.6
vs
Milwaukee: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+62.4% more
LA: 17.0
vs
Milwaukee: 10.5
Blocks (L5)
+15.2% more
LA: 6.0
vs
Milwaukee: 5.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.3%
LA: 85.5%
vs
Milwaukee: 75.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
116.6
117
LAC Score
117.5
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 42.6
32.4 / 37.1
Assists
26.0 / 28.9
19.0 / 24.0
Blocks
6.0 / 5.2
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 50.1
45.4 / 46.8
Free Throw %
85.5 / 75.3
100.0 / 88.2
Rebounding
46.2 / 49.6
47.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.6 / 5.3
8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
17.0 / 10.5
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
MIL
LAC
MIL
ML
60%
59-40
64%
61-35
55%
45-37
60%
49-32
ATS
66%
65-33-1
68%
65-31
55%
45-37
60%
49-32
TTL
59%
58-40-1
55%
53-43
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…