CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
23-16-7 | Road
5
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
28-16-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Marc-Andre Fleury
#29 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.00 | 0.840 | -- |
| Marc-Andre Fleury | None-None | 5.09 | 0.828 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00 Ldr
GAA
5.09
0.840 Ldr
Save %
0.828
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
WILD
100%
FLAMES
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
CGY By 1 goal
18.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
22.5%
MIN By 1 goal
15.8%
MIN By 2-3 goals
15.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.43
CALGARY
Minnesota
2.08
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
CGY @ MIN
1 - 4
Dec 4, 2025
MIN @ CGY
1 - 4
Nov 9, 2025
CGY @ MIN
0 - 2
Apr 11, 2025
MIN @ CGY
2 - 4
Jan 25, 2025
CGY @ MIN
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+28.6% more
Calgary: 20.9
vs
Minnesota: 14.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.7% more
Calgary: 16.5
vs
Minnesota: 12.1
Power Play % (L5)
+2.8%
Calgary: 13.8%
vs
Minnesota: 11.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.2%
Minnesota: 48.4%
vs
Calgary: 44.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.4
5
MIN Score
2.1
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.1 / 16.5
20.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
48.4 / 44.2
38.1 / 61.9
Hits
14.9 / 20.9
23.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
11.1 / 13.8
50.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 26.5
25.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 4.9
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CGY
MIN
CGY
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
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