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DALLAS

STARSDAL

30-17-1  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Jan 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

23-22-4  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Casey DeSmith None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Jordan Binnington None-None 2.16 0.895 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 2.16
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.895
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
STARS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (St. Louis)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

48.2%

Blues Cover

51.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

DAL By 1 goal

17.1%

DAL By 2-3 goals

17.7%

STL By 1 goal

17.8%

STL By 2-3 goals

19.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.33
DALLAS
3.42
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Blues (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 0
Feb 4, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 5
Jan 27, 2026 DAL @ STL 4 - 3
Jan 23, 2026 STL @ DAL 2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025 DAL @ STL 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +33.1% more
St. Louis: 25.4 vs Dallas: 19.1
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.4% more
Dallas: 16.2 vs St. Louis: 13.2
Power Play % (L5) +18.4%
Dallas: 41.1% vs St. Louis: 22.6%
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.8% more
Dallas: 26.5 vs St. Louis: 24.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.3 2
STL Score 3.4 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.2 / 16.2 14.0 / 19.0
Faceoff % 53.5 / 52.5 55.2 / 44.8
Hits 25.4 / 19.1 38.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 22.6 / 41.1 0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 24.2 / 26.5 33.0 / 19.0
Takeaways 3.6 / 3.7 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
73%MONEY27%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
DAL
STL
DAL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 1-1-1
100% 3-0
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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