WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
33-10-5 | Road
1
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
20-17-10 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 2.04 | 0.920 | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.04
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.920
Save %
Ldr 0.970
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
0%
CANUCKS
100%
CAPITALS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1 goal
19.4%
WSH By 2-3 goals
25.6%
VAN By 1 goal
14.3%
VAN By 2-3 goals
12.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
2.71
WASHINGTON
Vancouver
2.08
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Capitals (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
WSH @ VAN
3 - 4
Oct 19, 2025
VAN @ WSH
4 - 3
Jan 25, 2025
WSH @ VAN
1 - 2
Jan 8, 2025
VAN @ WSH
1 - 2
Mar 16, 2024
WSH @ VAN
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+30.5% more
Washington: 19.2
vs
Vancouver: 13.3
Takeaways (L5)
+27.7% more
Washington: 4.6
vs
Vancouver: 3.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.9%
Washington: 54.4%
vs
Vancouver: 52.5%
Hits (L5)
+45.7% more
Vancouver: 22.0
vs
Washington: 15.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
2.7
1
VAN Score
2.1
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 19.2
19.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
52.5 / 54.4
45.5 / 54.5
Hits
22.0 / 15.1
26.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
872.0 / 840.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.6 / 25.4
25.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 4.6
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
WSH
VAN
WSH
ML
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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