CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
36-7 | Road
129
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
15-27 | Home
132
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
76ERS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
27.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
23.0%
PHI By 1-7 points
18.5%
PHI By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
115.58
CLEVELAND
Philadelphia
110.57
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
109
CLEVELAND
Philadelphia
116
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
PHI @ CLE
101 - 115
Jan 16, 2026
CLE @ PHI
117 - 115
Jan 14, 2026
CLE @ PHI
133 - 107
Nov 5, 2025
PHI @ CLE
121 - 132
Jan 24, 2025
CLE @ PHI
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+31.4% more
Cleveland: 46.8
vs
Philadelphia: 32.1
Steals (L5)
+15.8% more
Cleveland: 8.3
vs
Philadelphia: 7.0
Turnovers (L5)
+9.5% more
Cleveland: 12.2
vs
Philadelphia: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
115.6
129
PHI Score
110.6
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 35.0
53.8 / 48.1
Assists
27.1 / 27.1
23.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.5
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 44.5
50.6 / 50.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 77.0
85.2 / 73.7
Rebounding
32.1 / 46.8
43.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.3
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 12.2
18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CLE
PHI
CLE
ML
63%
69-40
60%
69-46
48%
45-48
56%
55-44
ATS
65%
71-38
67%
75-37-3
48%
45-48
56%
55-44
TTL
55%
60-49
59%
68-47
100%
93-0
100%
99-0
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