PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
15-28 | Road
101
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
23-22 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
MAGIC
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around POR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
POR By 1-7 points
27.4%
POR By 8-14 points
21.6%
ORL By 1-7 points
20.1%
ORL By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
104.61
PORTLAND
Orlando
100.61
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Portland
112
PORTLAND
Orlando
104
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 205.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 216.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
ORL @ POR
110 - 106
Nov 10, 2025
POR @ ORL
112 - 115
Jan 30, 2025
ORL @ POR
90 - 119
Jan 23, 2025
POR @ ORL
101 - 79
Apr 1, 2024
POR @ ORL
103 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.7% more
Portland: 5.5
vs
Orlando: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+15.1% more
Portland: 14.3
vs
Orlando: 12.1
Assists (L5)
+12.7% more
Portland: 24.1
vs
Orlando: 21.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Portland: 33.3%
vs
Orlando: 26.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
104.6
101
ORL Score
100.6
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 33.3
24.0 / 32.1
Assists
21.0 / 24.1
17.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.0 / 5.5
6.0 / 12.0
Field Goal %
40.4 / 46.3
34.2 / 48.8
Free Throw %
72.1 / 74.3
67.7 / 63.2
Rebounding
41.7 / 44.9
44.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.4 / 5.8
9.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 14.3
22.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
POR
ORL
POR
ML
61%
65-42
53%
56-49
56%
51-40
55%
49-40
ATS
64%
68-38-1
62%
65-39-1
56%
51-40
55%
49-40
TTL
57%
61-46
56%
58-46-1
100%
91-0
100%
89-0
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