VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
20-16-10 | Road
2
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
29-15-3 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 6.00 | 0.824 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
--
0.824
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
OILERS
0%
CANUCKS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
VAN By 1 goal
14.4%
VAN By 2-3 goals
12.7%
EDM By 1 goal
19.4%
EDM By 2-3 goals
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.06
VANCOUVER
Edmonton
2.66
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Edmonton
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
EDM @ VAN
9 - 7
Sep 29, 2026
VAN @ EDM
6 - 5
Apr 16, 2026
VAN @ EDM
1 - 6
Jan 17, 2026
EDM @ VAN
6 - 0
Oct 26, 2025
EDM @ VAN
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+25.4% more
Edmonton: 4.4
vs
Vancouver: 3.5
Power Play % (L5)
+15.3%
Edmonton: 28.4%
vs
Vancouver: 13.1%
Hits (L5)
+40.9% more
Vancouver: 20.5
vs
Edmonton: 12.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.3% more
Vancouver: 13.5
vs
Edmonton: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.1
2
EDM Score
2.7
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.8 / 13.5
12.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
49.2 / 50.4
43.3 / 56.7
Hits
12.1 / 20.5
19.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
28.4 / 13.1
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 26.9
34.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.5
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
VAN
EDM
VAN
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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