PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
21-21 | Road
108
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
14-30 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
NETS
100%
SUNS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
27.2%
PHX By 8-14 points
19.8%
BKN By 1-7 points
21.9%
BKN By 8-14 points
10.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
107.36
PHOENIX
Brooklyn
104.54
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Phoenix
112
PHOENIX
Brooklyn
108
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.8
D
Sim
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
BKN @ PHX
102 - 106
Jan 19, 2026
PHX @ BKN
126 - 117
Oct 12, 2025
BKN @ PHX
111 - 109
Oct 10, 2025
PHX @ BKN
132 - 127
Jan 22, 2025
PHX @ BKN
108 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+9.5% more
Phoenix: 26.3
vs
Brooklyn: 23.9
Steals (L5)
+8.7% more
Phoenix: 6.3
vs
Brooklyn: 5.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Phoenix: 49.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 40.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Phoenix: 37.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 31.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
107.4
108
BKN Score
104.5
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 37.3
19.4 / 34.1
Assists
23.9 / 26.3
16.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.5 / 4.4
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.6 / 49.2
37.4 / 47.7
Free Throw %
74.9 / 78.4
64.3 / 76.9
Rebounding
44.2 / 41.0
52.0 / 48.0
Steals
5.8 / 6.3
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
16.9 / 14.0
17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
PHX
BKN
PHX
ML
53%
50-45
57%
60-45
59%
48-34
51%
45-43
ATS
52%
48-44-3
58%
59-43-3
59%
48-34
51%
45-43
TTL
57%
54-41
59%
61-42-2
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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