ORLANDO
MAGICORL
23-21 | Road
93
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
10-32 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
RAPTORS
100%
MAGIC
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.8
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.8 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -3.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
27.4%
ORL By 8-14 points
21.3%
TOR By 1-7 points
20.5%
TOR By 8-14 points
9.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
104.72
ORLANDO
Toronto
100.96
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Toronto
110
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.8
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 205.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
ORL @ TOR
87 - 139
Jan 30, 2026
TOR @ ORL
120 - 130
Dec 29, 2025
ORL @ TOR
106 - 107
Mar 4, 2025
TOR @ ORL
114 - 113
Mar 2, 2025
TOR @ ORL
104 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+37.8% more
Orlando: 10.1
vs
Toronto: 6.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Orlando: 71.4%
vs
Toronto: 67.8%
Assists (L5)
+30.6% more
Toronto: 30.8
vs
Orlando: 23.5
Turnovers (L5)
+20.4% more
Toronto: 13.5
vs
Orlando: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
104.7
93
TOR Score
101.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 25.7
54.2 / 29.0
Assists
30.8 / 23.5
29.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.9
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 40.0
53.4 / 41.2
Free Throw %
67.8 / 71.4
64.3 / 73.7
Rebounding
45.0 / 38.5
42.0 / 48.0
Steals
6.3 / 10.1
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 11.2
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
ORL
TOR
ORL
ML
55%
57-47
61%
65-42
55%
48-39
56%
51-40
ATS
61%
62-40-2
64%
68-38-1
55%
48-39
56%
51-40
TTL
60%
62-42
57%
61-46
100%
87-0
100%
91-0
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